000 FOPZ15 KNHC 060243 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 0300 UTC FRI OCT 06 2023 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 110W 34 11 4(15) 4(19) 3(22) 4(26) 3(29) 3(32) 20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 4( 8) 7(15) 12(27) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 11(21) 16(37) 12(49) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 31(50) 11(61) 1(62) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 6(19) 1(20) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 15N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 12(31) 4(35) 1(36) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 11(16) 9(25) 1(26) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI