775 FOPZ15 KNHC 050237 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 0300 UTC THU OCT 05 2023 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 5 3( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 5(19) 1(20) 1(21) 15N 110W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 3(17) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 13(29) 9(38) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20(24) 12(36) 5(41) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 7(18) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI