299 FOPZ15 KNHC 050848 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023 0900 UTC SAT AUG 05 2023 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 10N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 140W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19) 10N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) X(28) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 10N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 2(21) 10N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 10N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 4(31) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) 15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 10N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 10N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) 15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI