000
FOPZ15 KNHC 172050
PWSEP5

HURRICANE OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 125W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 125W       34  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)

15N 130W       34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

20N 130W       34  1   3( 4)  11(15)  13(28)   8(36)   X(36)   X(36)
20N 130W       50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI