000 FOPZ15 KNHC 151450 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ENSENADA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) P ABREOJOS 34 31 41(72) 2(74) X(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) P ABREOJOS 50 1 27(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) P ABREOJOS 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) LORETO 50 39 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) P PENASCO 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) HERMOSILLO 34 4 6(10) 6(16) X(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) BAHIA KINO 34 5 23(28) 10(38) 1(39) X(39) 1(40) X(40) BAHIA KINO 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUAYMAS 34 10 14(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) HUATABAMPO 34 8 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) LOS MOCHIS 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CULIACAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER STEWART