000 FOPZ15 KNHC 061431 PWSEP5 HURRICANE JULIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 1500 UTC WED AUG 06 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 36(41) 1(42) X(42) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN