000 FOPZ15 KNHC 060843 PWSEP5 HURRICANE JULIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 0900 UTC WED AUG 06 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 3(39) X(39) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART