000 FOPZ14 KNHC 010846 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 0900 UTC FRI SEP 01 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TIJUANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) IS GUADALUPE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 12(12) 35(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P ABREOJOS 34 3 67(70) 7(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) P ABREOJOS 50 X 22(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) P ABREOJOS 64 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 34 86 11(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) LORETO 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P PENASCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BAHIA KINO 34 1 15(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GUAYMAS 34 2 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) HUATABAMPO 34 7 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) LOS MOCHIS 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 115W 34 1 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BERG