000 FOPZ14 KNHC 051451 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 1500 UTC FRI SEP 05 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 4 26(30) 13(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) P ABREOJOS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 10 3(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) LORETO 34 6 7(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) HERMOSILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GUAYMAS 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HUATABAMPO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULIACAN 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA