734 FOPZ13 KNHC 211433 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022 1500 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 105W 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 23(44) 6(50) X(50) X(50) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 100W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 34(37) 18(55) 1(56) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) 1(23) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 10(40) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI