000 FOPZ12 KNHC 141459 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222018 1500 UTC SUN OCT 14 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 15N 105W 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 26(39) 15(54) 5(59) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 3(19) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13) MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 11(22) 9(31) 4(35) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 7(17) 10(27) 5(32) 2(34) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 10(20) 4(24) 1(25) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART