000 FOPZ12 KNHC 232030 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222015 2100 UTC MON NOV 23 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 22(42) 1(43) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 1(16) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25) 1(26) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X 8( 8) 19(27) 4(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CLIPPERTON IS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BERG