000 FOPZ12 KNHC 281446 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM MARTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172015 1500 UTC MON SEP 28 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 7(15) 1(16) 1(17) MANZANILLO 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 7(18) 1(19) X(19) L CARDENAS 34 18 23(41) 9(50) 9(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62) L CARDENAS 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 8(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 14 23(37) 10(47) 9(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ACAPULCO 34 2 6( 8) 6(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) P MALDONADO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE