000 FOPZ12 KNHC 052039 PWSEP2 HURRICANE BLANCA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015 2100 UTC FRI JUN 05 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BLANCA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) X(20) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 19(31) 16(47) 1(48) X(48) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 16(26) 15(41) 2(43) X(43) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 25(37) 4(41) X(41) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 12(31) X(31) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) X(18) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) X(16) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 4(21) X(21) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 34 7 36(43) 29(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 6( 6) 23(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER AVILA