000 FOPZ11 KNHC 090233 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162008 0300 UTC THU OCT 09 2008 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 2 2 3 6 13 22 29 TROP DEPRESSION 57 25 23 21 23 23 31 TROPICAL STORM 40 70 65 59 50 45 37 HURRICANE 1 3 9 14 14 10 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 1 3 8 11 11 9 3 HUR CAT 2 X X 1 2 2 1 X HUR CAT 3 X X X 1 X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 45KT 50KT 55KT 60KT 60KT 55KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 2(14) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20) 1(21) ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 4(25) 1(26) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) HUATULCO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SALINA CRUZ 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TAPACHULA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN