938 FONT15 KNHC 202050 PWSAT5 HURRICANE TAMMY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023 2100 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 6(21) 1(22) 1(23) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 12(23) 7(30) 2(32) X(32) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT JOHN 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 14(27) 7(34) 2(36) X(36) SAINT JOHN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT JOHN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 7(18) 6(24) 2(26) X(26) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 2 11(13) 42(55) 12(67) 5(72) X(72) X(72) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X 1( 1) 19(20) 13(33) 2(35) 1(36) X(36) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) SABA 34 3 9(12) 34(46) 8(54) 4(58) 1(59) X(59) SABA 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) SABA 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST EUSTATIUS 34 3 16(19) 33(52) 7(59) 3(62) 1(63) X(63) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 25(28) 32(60) 4(64) 2(66) 1(67) X(67) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X 3( 3) 19(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BARBUDA 34 4 57(61) 28(89) 2(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) BARBUDA 50 X 18(18) 45(63) 3(66) X(66) 1(67) X(67) BARBUDA 64 X 6( 6) 32(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) ANTIGUA 34 2 59(61) 18(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ANTIGUA 50 X 24(24) 23(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) ANTIGUA 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUADELOUPE 34 16 61(77) 3(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) GUADELOUPE 50 1 36(37) 4(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) GUADELOUPE 64 X 19(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) AVES 34 3 2( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) DOMINICA 34 22 23(45) 3(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) DOMINICA 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOMINICA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MARTINIQUE 34 8 5(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAINT LUCIA 34 4 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAINT VINCENT 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBADOS 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GRENADA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN