000 FONT15 KNHC 020839 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 0900 UTC WED NOV 02 2022 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) FRONTERA MX 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 23(33) 1(34) X(34) 1(35) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COZUMEL MX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BELIZE CITY 34 86 11(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) BELIZE CITY 50 29 36(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) BELIZE CITY 64 11 24(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) GUANAJA 34 91 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) P SAN JOSE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) GUATEMALA CITY 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) TAPACHULA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN