000 FONT15 KNHC 010841 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM LISA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152022 0900 UTC TUE NOV 01 2022 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COZUMEL MX 34 X 6( 6) 5(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) BELIZE CITY 34 X 7( 7) 43(50) 22(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) 12(12) 23(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GUANAJA 34 1 48(49) 38(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) GUANAJA 50 X 10(10) 41(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) GUANAJA 64 X 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) S SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TEGUCIGALPA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUATEMALA CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TAPACHULA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 6 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) $$ FORECASTER BROWN