000 FONT14 KNHC 080258 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DANVILLE VA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) NORFOLK VA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) OCEANA NAS VA 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 8( 9) 10(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 3 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ROCKY MT NC 34 3 11(14) 6(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 20(22) 33(55) 5(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 12 36(48) 3(51) X(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) FAYETTEVILLE 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 5 52(57) 16(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 10(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CHERRY PT NC 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 4 52(56) 22(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 11(11) 20(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOREHEAD CITY 34 5 57(62) 17(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 14(14) 17(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SURF CITY NC 34 19 63(82) 5(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) SURF CITY NC 50 1 31(32) 9(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) SURF CITY NC 64 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WILMINGTON NC 34 38 51(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) WILMINGTON NC 50 1 39(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BALD HEAD ISL 34 62 33(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BALD HEAD ISL 50 3 59(62) 4(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 28(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) FLORENCE SC 34 63 16(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) FLORENCE SC 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COLUMBIA SC 34 28 5(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) LITTLE RIVER 34 78 20(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) LITTLE RIVER 50 5 57(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) LITTLE RIVER 64 1 24(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MYRTLE BEACH 34 87 11(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MYRTLE BEACH 50 14 53(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) MYRTLE BEACH 64 2 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GEORGETOWN SC 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 47 33(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) GEORGETOWN SC 64 11 35(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 77 6(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) CHARLESTON SC 64 43 8(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 53 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ATLANTA GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 8 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAVANNAH GA 50 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SAVANNAH GA 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WAYCROSS GA 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PATRICK AFB 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN