000 FONT14 KNHC 122051 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007 2100 UTC WED SEP 12 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 15 29(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GALVESTON TX 34 61 7(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) GALVESTON TX 50 17 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) HOUSTON TX 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) FREEPORT TX 34 19 1(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) FREEPORT TX 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 950W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 294N 947W 34 58 8(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) 12 294N 947W 50 16 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 12 294N 947W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 310N 939W 34 1 13(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 24 310N 939W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 310N 939W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 323N 922W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 323N 922W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 323N 922W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 330N 900W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 330N 900W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 330N 900W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 30 25 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN