000 FONT14 KNHC 211443 PWSAT4 HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1500 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS ...105 MPH...165 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PESCO MX 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) TAMPICO MX 34 X 10(10) 31(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) TAMPICO MX 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) TUXPAN MX 34 1 26(27) 47(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) TUXPAN MX 50 X 6( 6) 26(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) TUXPAN MX 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) VERACRUZ MX 34 3 56(59) 17(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) VERACRUZ MX 50 X 14(14) 12(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) VERACRUZ MX 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FRONTERA MX 34 71 22(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) FRONTERA MX 50 10 10(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) FRONTERA MX 64 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MERIDA MX 34 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BELIZE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 194N 922W 34 93 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 194N 922W 50 72 15(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 12 194N 922W 64 36 20(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 200N 955W 34 3 82(85) 9(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 24 200N 955W 50 X 55(55) 13(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 24 200N 955W 64 X 25(25) 13(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 36 205N 987W 34 X 6( 6) 39(45) 5(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) 36 205N 987W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 36 205N 987W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 210N 1015W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 48 210N 1015W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 210N 1015W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 85 95 50 25 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN