000 FONT13 KNHC 290240 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182017 0300 UTC SUN OCT 29 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 53(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 47(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 59(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 66(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 59(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 44(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) AUGUSTA ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORTLAND ME 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 26(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 13(13) 20(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 32(32) 19(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 43(43) 16(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 19(19) 12(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 15(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 21(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT PIERCE FL 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) W PALM BEACH 34 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) FT LAUDERDALE 34 85 X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) MIAMI FL 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) MARATHON FL 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 34 82 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ANDROS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN