000 FONT13 KNHC 290854 PWSAT3 HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012 0900 UTC MON OCT 29 2012 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X 4 21 41 57 69 TROP DEPRESSION X 2 19 41 38 28 15 TROPICAL STORM 5 55 70 37 20 12 7 HURRICANE 95 44 8 1 1 3 10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 70 37 8 1 1 1 4 HUR CAT 2 21 5 X X X 1 4 HUR CAT 3 4 2 X X X 1 2 HUR CAT 4 1 X X X X X 1 HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80KT 65KT 50KT 35KT 30KT 25KT 20KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) AUGUSTA ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PORTLAND ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) CONCORD NH 34 2 17(19) 2(21) X(21) 1(22) 2(24) 3(27) CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BOSTON MA 34 19 23(42) 1(43) X(43) 1(44) 1(45) 2(47) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) HYANNIS MA 34 46 8(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) 1(56) 1(57) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 56 6(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) 1(64) 1(65) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PROVIDENCE RI 34 46 15(61) X(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 1(63) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) HARTFORD CT 34 39 25(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 1(66) HARTFORD CT 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 62 14(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 1(77) MONTAUK POINT 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 55 34(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) NEW YORK CITY 50 1 34(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEW YORK CITY 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEWARK NJ 34 46 42(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) NEWARK NJ 50 1 33(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEWARK NJ 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TRENTON NJ 34 44 50(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) TRENTON NJ 50 1 63(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) TRENTON NJ 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 66 33(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ATLANTIC CITY 50 6 85(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X 23(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BALTIMORE MD 34 29 65(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BALTIMORE MD 50 X 65(65) 7(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) BALTIMORE MD 64 X 13(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) DOVER DE 34 58 41(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DOVER DE 50 2 87(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) DOVER DE 64 X 34(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 35 60(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X 66(66) 5(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) ANNAPOLIS MD 64 X 15(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) WASHINGTON DC 34 26 63(89) 4(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) WASHINGTON DC 50 X 46(46) 11(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) WASHINGTON DC 64 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) OCEAN CITY MD 34 77 23(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEAN CITY MD 50 13 77(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X 41(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) RICHMOND VA 34 26 39(65) 4(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) RICHMOND VA 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 54 24(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) NORFOLK NAS 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK VA 34 57 22(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) NORFOLK VA 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 75 24(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WALLOPS CDA 50 6 68(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) WALLOPS CDA 64 X 23(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 X 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 15 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) $$ FORECASTER PASCH