000 FONT13 KNHC 310242 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007 0300 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 11(11) 18(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 30(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 382N 645W 34 30 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 12 382N 645W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 382N 645W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 425N 600W 34 X 21(21) 5(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 24 425N 600W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 425N 600W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 475N 520W 34 X X( X) 24(24) 7(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 36 475N 520W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 475N 520W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 525N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) 25(25) 10(35) X(35) X(35) 48 525N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 525N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 580N 300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 12(36) 2(38) 72 580N 300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) 72 580N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 610N 230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 6(35) 96 610N 230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 96 610N 230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 120 650N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 120 650N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 120 650N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 40 40 40 45 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN