000 FONT12 KNHC 181450 PWSAT2 HURRICANE GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC WED AUG 18 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 6(37) X(37) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 44(46) 8(54) X(54) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 1(34) X(34) VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FRONTERA MX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MERIDA MX 34 X 20(20) 48(68) 3(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) MERIDA MX 50 X 3( 3) 26(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) MERIDA MX 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COZUMEL MX 34 7 87(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) COZUMEL MX 50 1 73(74) 3(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) COZUMEL MX 64 X 39(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BELIZE CITY 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANAJA 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 12 20(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLE OF PINES 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GRAND CAYMAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND CAYMAN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH