000 FONT12 KNHC 071447 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022018 1500 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) X(25) X(25) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 6(35) X(35) X(35) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 39(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 11(11) 22(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BERG