000 FONT12 KNHC 282031 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016 2100 UTC SAT MAY 28 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 2(13) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 2(15) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) 2(13) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) 2(15) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 5(18) 2(20) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) 2(17) 2(19) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 4(21) 2(23) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 12(17) 5(22) 1(23) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 4(22) 1(23) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 13(22) 4(26) 1(27) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 12(24) 4(28) X(28) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 11(27) 3(30) 1(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 8(22) 5(27) 1(28) X(28) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 10(10) 8(18) 6(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 14(22) 8(30) 3(33) X(33) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 13(25) 8(33) 1(34) 1(35) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 7( 8) 12(20) 10(30) 5(35) 1(36) 1(37) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) CHARLESTON SC 34 10 21(31) 8(39) 3(42) 2(44) X(44) 1(45) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 27 27(54) 4(58) 1(59) 1(60) 1(61) X(61) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 8( 8) 4(12) 3(15) 2(17) X(17) 1(18) SAVANNAH GA 34 13 18(31) 4(35) 2(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39) SAVANNAH GA 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART