000 FONT12 KNHC 112031 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 2100 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 11(11) 4(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) KINGSTON 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LES CAYES 34 1 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 15 13(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) CAPE BEATA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PUERTO PLATA 34 64 X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) SANTO DOMINGO 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 185N 714W 34 31 3(34) X(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) 12 185N 714W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 185N 714W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 186N 745W 34 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 24 186N 745W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 186N 745W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 189N 778W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 189N 778W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 189N 778W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 192N 805W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 192N 805W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 192N 805W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 195N 830W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 195N 830W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 195N 830W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN