000 FONT12 KNHC 262049 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 132N 451W 34 74 12(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) 12 132N 451W 50 22 12(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 12 132N 451W 64 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 146N 472W 34 2 59(61) 12(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 24 146N 472W 50 X 23(23) 13(36) 1(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) 24 146N 472W 64 X 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 36 159N 488W 34 1 11(12) 40(52) 7(59) 3(62) X(62) 1(63) 36 159N 488W 50 X 2( 2) 19(21) 7(28) 2(30) X(30) 1(31) 36 159N 488W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 48 170N 501W 34 X 2( 2) 21(23) 18(41) 10(51) 2(53) X(53) 48 170N 501W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 5(22) 1(23) 1(24) 48 170N 501W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) 72 190N 525W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 18(28) 8(36) 3(39) 72 190N 525W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) X(14) 72 190N 525W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 210N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 11(22) 5(27) 96 210N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 96 210N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 230N 570W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 7(19) 120 230N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 120 230N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 65 65 60 55 55 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH