000 FONT12 KNHC 082041 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) X(21) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) X(17) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X 5( 5) 14(19) 5(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 33(34) 20(54) 4(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 34 8 34(42) 7(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WILMINGTON NC 34 1 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 332N 754W 34 70 6(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 12 332N 754W 50 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 12 332N 754W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 346N 758W 34 12 41(53) 9(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 346N 758W 50 X 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 24 346N 758W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 360N 748W 34 X 11(11) 28(39) 9(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50) 36 360N 748W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 36 360N 748W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 376N 728W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 23(32) 9(41) 1(42) X(42) 48 376N 728W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) 48 376N 728W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 415N 655W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 7(26) X(26) 72 415N 655W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 72 415N 655W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 460N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) 96 460N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 96 460N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 45 45 45 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB