000 FONT12 KNHC 020834 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007 0900 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 10(10) 14(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 20(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 4( 4) 22(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 11(11) 9(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 29(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 25(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ORLANDO FL 34 3 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) TAMPA FL 34 49 4(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) TAMPA FL 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 17 13(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 282N 829W 34 52 4(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 12 282N 829W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 282N 829W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 313N 808W 34 X 28(28) 6(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) 24 313N 808W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 313N 808W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 340N 786W 34 X X( X) 23(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 36 340N 786W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 340N 786W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 367N 758W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) 48 367N 758W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 367N 758W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 440N 700W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) 72 440N 700W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 440N 700W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 40 40 35 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN