000 FONT11 KNHC 080832 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 0900 UTC SAT JUN 08 2013 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 5 10 NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 15 39 39 NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 83 54 48 NA NA NA NA HURRICANE 2 2 3 NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 2 2 2 NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40KT 35KT 35KT NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 6( 6) 28(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PTX BASQUES 34 X 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) EDDY POINT NS 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X 36(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) SYDNEY NS 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 22(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) HALIFAX NS 34 7 54(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) HALIFAX NS 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 60 11(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) YARMOUTH NS 50 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 34 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ST JOHN NB 34 9 14(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) EASTPORT ME 34 20 7(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) BAR HARBOR ME 34 21 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) AUGUSTA ME 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORTLAND ME 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CONCORD NH 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) HYANNIS MA 34 68 X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) NANTUCKET MA 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) PROVIDENCE RI 34 23 X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MONTAUK POINT 34 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) $$ FORECASTER AVILA