000 FONT11 KNHC 201450 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012012 1500 UTC SUN MAY 20 2012 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 2 6 9 13 16 22 NA TROP DEPRESSION 38 42 40 38 33 37 NA TROPICAL STORM 60 51 48 44 45 37 NA HURRICANE X 2 3 5 6 4 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X 2 3 4 5 4 NA HUR CAT 2 X X X X 1 X NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 35KT 35KT 35KT 35KT 30KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLESTON SC 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG