000 FONT11 KNHC 150233 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 0300 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HOUSTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FREEPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 5( 5) 17(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 11(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 248N 922W 34 13 9(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 248N 922W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 248N 922W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 259N 942W 34 X 23(23) 11(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 24 259N 942W 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 259N 942W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 270N 964W 34 X 3( 3) 23(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 36 270N 964W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 270N 964W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 278N 986W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 48 278N 986W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 278N 986W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 30 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN