000 FZNT24 KNHC 160303 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-161515- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Fred near 27.5N 85.8W 1000 mb at 11 PM EDT moving NNW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 45 kt gusts 55 kt. Fred will move to 28.6N 86.2W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt, to near 30.2N 86.1W Mon evening and move inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 32.3N 85.7W Tue morning. Fred will dissipate Wed morning. Tropical Depression Grace over the northeastern Caribbean Sea is forecast to move near or over west-central Cuba on Wed and reach the far southeastern Gulf Wed night. Grace is forecast to intensify to a tropical storm as it moves across the central gulf Thu through Fri and western Gulf Fri night. $$ GMZ011-161515- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less in E swell. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ013-161515- N Central Gulf including Flower Garden Banks Marine Sanctuary- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...W of 90W, NE to E winds 10 kt. E of 90W, NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming NW to N 25 to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft W of 90W, and 8 to 12 ft elsewhere. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 90W, N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. E of 90W, W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. W of 90W, seas 3 ft or less. Elsewhere, seas 3 ft or less, building to 4 to 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...W of 90W, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ015-161515- NE Gulf N of 25N E of 87W- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .OVERNIGHT...S of 27N, S winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming S 40 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, SW winds 40 to 45 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft, subsiding to 6 to 8 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .TUE...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. S of 27N, seas 3 ft or less, building to 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, seas 3 ft or less. .THU...S of 27N, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. .THU NIGHT...S of 27N, SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SE 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft, subsiding to 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .FRI...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ017-161515- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...W of 96W, NE to E winds 10 kt early in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...W of 96W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE to E 10 kt early in the afternoon. Elsewhere, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ019-161515- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 94W- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E swell. .MON...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ021-161515- E Gulf from 22N to 25N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU....TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU NIGHT...Straits of Florida, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, SE winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft Straits of Florida, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. .FRI...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ023-161515- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt early in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...S of 21N W of 95W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N 10 kt early in the afternoon. Elsewhere, variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...S of 21N W of 95W, variable winds less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 10 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 3 ft or less in NE swell. .TUE...S of 21N W of 95W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming E to SE 10 kt early in the afternoon. Elsewhere, SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less in NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 kt early in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. $$ GMZ025-161515- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 1103 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021 .OVERNIGHT...Within 60 nm of coast of Campeche, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SE 10 kt late. Elsewhere, N to NE winds 10 kt, shifting to E to SE late. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...SE to S winds 10 kt early in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less in NE swell. .MON NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming E to SE 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ Forecaster Aguirre