000 FZNT24 KNHC 140853 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-142100- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Depression Fred near 23.3N 81.7W 1013 mb at 5 AM EDT moving WNW at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Fred will move to near 24.0N 83.1W this afternoon, then strengthen to a tropical storm near 25.4N 84.6W late tonight with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt and slowly strengthen as it moves to near 27.0N 85.8W Sun afternoon, to near 28.4N 86.7W late Sun night with maximum sustained winds 45 kt gusts 55 kt, to near 29.8N 87.3W Mon afternoon with maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts to 60 kt and inland to near 30.9N 87.4W late Mon night. Fred will weaken to a tropical depression while moving inland late Tue night. High pressure will then build over the area for the rest of the week. $$ GMZ011-142100- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE to E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ013-142100- N Central Gulf including Flower Garden Banks Marine Sanctuary- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN....TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 90W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming NW 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft W of 90W, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 90W, NE to E winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, W to NW winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming SE to S 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft W of 90W, and 5 to 7 ft elsewhere. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 90W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SE to S 10 kt late. Elsewhere, W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SE to S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ015-142100- NE Gulf N of 25N E of 87W- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...NE winds 25 to 30 kt S of 27N, and NE to E 10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 27N, NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Elsewhere, NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, SW winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere, NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming E 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 8 to 12 ft in the afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, SW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, S winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 14 ft. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 27N, S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Elsewhere, SW winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming S to SW 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft S of 27N, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...S winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming E to SE 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. .WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ017-142100- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...W of 96W, variable winds less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt W of 96W, and N to NE 10 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less in NE to E swell, subsiding to 3 ft or less in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ019-142100- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 94W- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...S of 24N, NE winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...SE to S winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft in NE to E swell. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ021-142100- E Gulf from 22N to 25N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Straits of Florida, N winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S to SW late. Elsewhere, N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming E to SE 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...S winds 10 to 15 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. .WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ023-142100- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN...N winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ025-142100- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 453 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 2021 .TODAY...Within 60 nm of coast of Campeche, variable winds less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, NE winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN...Within 60 nm of coast of Campeche, variable winds less than 5 kt in the morning. Variable winds less than 5 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, N to NE winds 10 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON...SE to S winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming E 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less, building to 2 to 4 ft late. $$ Forecaster Aguirre