000 FZNT24 KNHC 060257 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-061500- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Elsa is near 23.5N 82.3W 1007 mb at 11 PM EDT moving NNW at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Elsa will will strengthen slightly as it moves into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico near 24.9N 82.9W Tue morning with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt, to near 26.9N 83.3W Tue evening with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt, then maintain intensity as it tracks north-northeast to just offshore the Florida coast near 29.2N 83.1W early Wed, then weaken as it moves inland southeastern Georgia Wed evening. Marine conditions will continue to deteriorate over most of the far eastern Gulf through Wed. Atlantic high pressure will then build across the area in the wake of Elsa through the next few days. Swells from Elsa are likely to spread throughout the basin during the period. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue across the north-central Gulf through Wed. $$ GMZ011-061500- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .OVERNIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ013-061500- N Central Gulf including Flower Garden Banks Marine Sanctuary- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .OVERNIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...W of 90W, SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 10 kt early in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...W of 90W, SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S 10 kt early in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SAT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ015-061500- NE Gulf N of 25N E of 87W- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .OVERNIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. S of 27N, E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming NE to E 40 to 45 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, N to NE winds 45 to 50 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. Elsewhere, E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, W to NW winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming SW to W 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, NE winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming NW to N 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 8 ft. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and W 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ017-061500- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .OVERNIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .FRI...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ019-061500- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 94W- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .OVERNIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ021-061500- E Gulf from 22N to 25N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING E OF 84W... .OVERNIGHT...E OF 84W, TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Straits of Florida, NE winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming W to NW 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft. W of 84W, NE winds 25 to 30 kt except NE to E 15 to 20 kt W of 85W. Seas 8 to 11 ft, except 6 to 8 ft W of 85W. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms E of 84W. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Straits of Florida, S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Elsewhere, NW to N winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming W to NW 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SAT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ023-061500- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .OVERNIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ025-061500- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 1057 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021 .OVERNIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SAT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ Forecaster Aguirre