000 FZNT23 KNHC 050246 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-050930- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM TOMAS NEAR 17.3N 75.5W AT 0300 UTC PRES 989 MB MOVING N NE AT 8 KT. TOMAS IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 18.8N 74.6W FRI MORNING THEN WILL MOVE N OF THE AREA NEAR 21.0N 73.1W FRI EVENING. A FRONTAL TROUGH IN THE NW CARIBBEAN EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA TO JUST E OF NICARAGUA NEAR 13N83W WILL BE ABSORBED BY A REINFORCING COLD FRONT ON FRI. THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO CENTRAL PANAMA SAT MORNING THEN WILL STALL AS IT REACHES FROM NEAR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO NORTHERN COLOMBIA SUN. LOW PRES MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUE. $$ AMZ082-050930- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING E OF 76W... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS E OF 77W. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. W OF 80W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT LATE. NUMEROUS SQUALLS E OF 77W. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONTAL TROUGH. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF 18N E OF 76W DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 33 KT FRI NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N E OF 78W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT BECOMING W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT FRI NIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FT FRI NIGHT. REMAINDER OF AREA W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT BECOMING NW TO N FRI NIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS NE PORTION FRI. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT N OF 19N SAT NIGHT. .SUN...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT N OF 19N. .MON AND TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT E OF 78W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT E OF 78W. $$ AMZ084-050930- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 .TONIGHT...NW OF LINE FROM 15N76W TO 09N79W W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 80W. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT TO 30 KT ALONG COAST OF NICARAGUA. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W OF 80W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. E OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT SAT NIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 12 FT SAT NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. .SUN...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .MON...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .TUE...NW TO N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS NE PORTION. $$ AMZ086-050930- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 ...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 16N W OF 72W... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF 16N W OF 73W. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 15N W OF 72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. E OF 72W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE TO S LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF TOMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ELSEWHERE W OF 70W. .FRI...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF 16N W OF 72W DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 33 KT LATE. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 69W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 17N W OF 69W SW TO W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 69W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 17N W OF 70W EARLY. .FRI NIGHT...W OF 68W SW TO W WINDS 15 KT SHIFTING TO NW TO N BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. E OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W OF FRONT N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. E OF FRONT TO 68W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT NE TO E 20 KT NEAR COAST OF HISPANIOLA. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN MIXED SWELL. E OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SUN...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN MIXED SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONT. .MON...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN MIXED SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONT. .TUE...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW WEST OF 70W. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONT. $$ AMZ087-050930- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 .TONIGHT...N OF 10N E TO SE WINDS 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT S OF 14N LATE. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...HIGHEST NW PORTION. S OF 10N E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS S OF 17N. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT FRI NIGHT. S OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT FRI NIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS NW PORTION. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT SAT NIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL N OF 17N SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT SAT NIGHT...AND 4 TO 6 FT S OF 17N THROUGHOUT. .SUN...E TO SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT W OF FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 7 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL W OF FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONT. .MON AND TUE...E OF FRONT E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT N TO NE WEST OF FRONT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL S OF 17N AND 7 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL N OF 17N. SCATTERED SHOWERS NEAR FRONT. $$ AMZ088-050930- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 .SYNOPSIS...A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR 31N79W TO THE SPACE COAST OF FLORIDA WILL SHIFT TO NEAR 31N76W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY FRI MORNING. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE N OF 29N E OF THE FRONT FRI WITH THE FRONT REACHING FROM NEAR 31N72W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI EVENING. MEANWHILE TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE AREA NEAR 18.8N 74.6W FRI MORNING...MOVING TO NEAR 21.0N 73.1W FRI EVENING THEN TO 23.4N 71.5W SAT MORNING. TOMAS WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT REACHES 25.1N 70.2W SAT EVENING...THEN TO 27.2N 67.9W BEFORE BECOMING POST TROPICAL MON EVENING THROUGH TUE EVENING. $$ AMZ080-050930- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 ...HURRICANE WARNING FRI NIGHT AND SAT... .TONIGHT...S OF 22N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING S TO SW 25 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS N OF 29N E OF FRONT LATE. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 15 FT N OF 29N LATE. W OF 72W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT 10 TO 15 KT SW OF BAHAMAS...BECOMING NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT NE OF BAHAMAS AND 3 TO 5 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 22N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .FRI...S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 76W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 18 FT LATE. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT EXCEPT S TO SW JUST AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. W OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT NE OF BAHAMAS AND 3 TO 6 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF TOMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .FRI NIGHT AND SAT...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. HIGHEST WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 25 TO 30 KT EXCEPT S TO SW JUST AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. W OF FRONT NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT NE OF BAHAMAS AND 4 TO 7 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF TOMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 68W AND 73W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST N PORTION. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT NE OF BAHAMAS...HIGHEST N PORTION...AND 4 TO 7 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 180 NM OF TOMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 90 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT...HIGHEST N PORTION. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT NE OF BAHAMAS...HIGHEST N PORTION...AND 4 TO 7 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 120 NM OF TOMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .MON...N OF 27N E OF 68W WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT NE OF BAHAMAS AND 4 TO 6 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 27N E OF 68W AND NEAR FRONT. .TUE...S OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT E OF 72W AND 3 TO 6 FT W OF 72W. $$ FORECASTER LEWITSKY