000 FZNT23 KNHC 220236 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-220330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM RICHARD AT 15.9N 80.5W 1006 MB AT 11 PM EDT MOVING S SE OR 160 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT. RICHARD WILL STRENGTHEN TO 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR 15.8N 81.0W AT 8 AM EDT FRI...STRENGTHEN TO 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT NEAR 15.8N 81.6W AT 8 PM FRI...STRENGTHEN TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT NEAR 16.0N 82.6W AT 8 AM SAT. RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITH 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT NEAR 16.5N 84.0W AT 8 PM SAT...FURTHER STRENGTHEN TO 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT NEAR 17.5N 87.0W AT 8 PM SUN...THEN MOVE INLAND WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 19.5N 89.0W AT 8 PM MON...AND ENTER THE GULF OF MEXICO AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 21.5N 89.0W AT 8 PM TUE. $$ AMZ082-220330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 19N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED SAT THROUGH MON S OF 20N W OF 84W... .TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...WITHIN 100 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF RICHARD HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT INCREASING 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT FRI...AND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT FRI NIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT BUILDING TO 10 TO 15 FT FRI NIGHT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER TONIGHT EXPANDING TO 300 NM FRI NIGHT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. REMAINDER AREA N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF RICHARD. .SAT THROUGH MON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR GREATER WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS TO 80 KT INCREASING TO 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT SUN. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 35 FT PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER. .TUE...N OF 20N W OF 86W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 85W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NW PART. $$ AMZ084-220330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 14N W OF 78W... .TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...N OF 14N W OF 78W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WITH HIGHEST WINDS INCREASING 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT LATE FRI AND 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT FAR NW WATERS LATE SAT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING 10 TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL BY SAT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT OVER WATERS N OF 13N W OF 78W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S 10 TO 15 KT FRI. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 13N W OF 78W. .SUN...N OF 13N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 13N S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .MON AND TUE...SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ086-220330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 .TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. $$ AMZ087-220330- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 .TONIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .MON AND TUE...N OF 17N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. S OF 17N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. $$ AMZ088-220330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 .SYNOPSIS...A TROUGH FROM 31N66W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WILL MOVE TO 29N65W TO SE BAHAMAS FRI THEN E OF THE AREA SAT. THE EASTERLY TRADES INCREASE SAT AND SUN AS A RIDGE BUILDS E TO W ALONG 33N. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SE MON AND EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NW BAHAMAS ON TUE. $$ AMZ080-220330- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT THU OCT 21 2010 .TONIGHT...N OF 27N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 27N E OF TROUGH S TO SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 27N W OF TROUGH N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 27N E OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS E OF TROUGH. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N OF 27N W OF TROUGH N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. N OF 27N E OF TROUGH SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN MIXED SWELL. S OF 27N W OF BAHAMAS NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 27N E OF BAHAMAS SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS E OF TROUGH. .SAT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .MON...N OF 27N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT W OF BAHAMAS. .TUE...N OF 27N W OF 73W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. N OF 27N E OF 73W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. $$ FORECASTER NELSON