000 FZNT23 KNHC 122102 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-130330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 .SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA AT 19.2N 86.0W AT 2100 UTC MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 8 KT. PAULA WILL MOVE TO 20.3N 86.2W EARLY WED AND TO 21.5N 86.0W WED AFTERNOON TO NEAR 22.0N 85.0W EARLY THU NEAR 22.5N 83.5W THU AFTERNOON AS A HURRICANE BEFORE WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 22.5N 80.5W FRI AFTERNOON. PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS E ACROSS CUBA THROUGH SUN. $$ AMZ082-130330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 ...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 18N W OF 84W... .TONIGHT THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF PAULA TONIGHT AND EXPANDING TO 100 NM E AND 75 NM W WED THROUGH THU. HIGHEST WINDS 85 KT GUST TO 105 KT INCREASING TO 95 KT GUST TO 115 KT WED. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF PAULA TODAY AND EXPANDING TO 150 NM OF CENTER THROUGH THU WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 84W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E TO 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN SCATTERED TSTMS IN SQUALLS W OF 80W. .THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN SCATTERED TSTMS IN SQUALLS N OF 17N. .SUN...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. $$ AMZ084-130330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 .TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 80W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT BUILDING 7 TO 9 FT WED NIGHT. N OF 12N W OF 80W N TO NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT WED NIGHT. S OF 12N NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL WED NIGHT. SCATTERED TSTMS TONIGHT. .THU THROUGH SUN...N OF 12N E OF 80W E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT SAT. N OF 12N W OF 80W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. $$ AMZ086-130330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 .TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...W OF 67W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT EXCEPT TO 9 FT S OF 16N W OF 70W. E OF 67W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .THU AND THU NIGHT...S OF 16N W OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-130330- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 .TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .SAT AND SUN...S OF 18N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ088-130330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 .SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE REMAINS N OF 27N THROUGH THU. A COLD FRONT MOVES OFF N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACHES FROM BERMUDA TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS FRI AND FROM 31N60W TO SOUTHERN BAHAMAS SAT. WEAKENING TROP STORM PAULA EXPECTED TO EMERGE FROM CENTRAL CUBA SAT THEN DRIFT E THROUGH SUN. $$ AMZ080-130330- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010 .TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS W OF 79W. .THU AND THU NIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 75W BECOMING NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N E OF TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .FRI...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT S OF 27N AND 4 TO 7 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SAT AND SUN...N OF 27N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 27N W OF FRONT N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 3 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL