000 FZNT23 KNHC 112127 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-120330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS...PREVIOUS LOW PRES CENTER IN NW CARIBBEAN JUST TURNED INTO TROPICAL STORM PAULA HUGGING NE COAST OF HONDURAS HEADING NE. TROPICAL STORM PAULA NEAR 16.8N 84.8W TONIGHT STRENGTHENS TO HURRICANE TUE NEAR 18.3N86.2W...19.6N86.6W TUE NIGHT... 20.0N86.4W WED...AN20.0N85.5W THU. PAULA DRIFT E THEN S TO NEAR 19.RN85.0W BY SAT. WEAK STEERING CURRENTS DO NOT HELP IN DETERMINING PATH FOR PAULA WITH CERTAINTY ALTHOUGH MOST STATISTICAL GUIDANCE ACCEPT ITS MEANDERING DRIFT. FORECAST FOR NW CARIBBEAN RELIES ON THE PRESENCE OF PAULA THROUGHOUT ENTIRE PERIOD. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE S OF 14N ALONG 76W REACH 80W LATE TUE BEFORE MERGING INTO SE WIND FIELD FROM PAULA. $$ AMZ082-120330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 15N W OF 83W... ...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 17N W OF 83W TUE... .TONIGHT...N OF 15N W OF 83W TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 85 NM N AND 60 NM S OF PAULA CENTER WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 55 KT. SEAS AS HIGH AS 14 FT AND BUILDING HIGHER LATE. ELSEWHERE S OF 20N W OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT AND GUSTY. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASE TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS IN SQUALLS W OF 80W. .TUE THROUGH THU...N OF 17N W OF 83W HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E OF PAULA WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 105 NM E AND 85 NM W OF CENTER. SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 86W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS UP TO 12 FT. E OF 86W S OF 18N SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. E OF 86W N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS TSTMS IN SQUALLS W OF 82W. .FRI AND SAT...N OF 18N W OF 83W HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH MAXIMUM SPEEDS OF 65 KT AND SEAS TO 25 FT. TROPICAL WINDS EXTEND 100 NM E OF CENTER AND 50 NM W OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. S OF 18N E OF 83W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. N OF 18N E OF 83W E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ084-120330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .TONIGHT...N OF 13N W OF 81W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 77W E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NW PART. ISOLATED TSTMS ELSEWHERE. .TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. N OF 12N W OF 80W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROPICAL WAVE TUE. .THU THROUGH SAT...N OF 13N E OF 81W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. N OF 12N W OF 81W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ086-120330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .TONIGHT...S OF 15N E OF 68W E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT BUILD TO 8 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...W OF 67W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 9 FT S OF 16N W OF 67W. E OF 67W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. .THU...W OF 70W E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI AND SAT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-120330- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .TONIGHT...N OF 16N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 19N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 19N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. .WED THROUGH SAT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ088-120330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF 25N THROUGH THU. WEAK TROUGH EXTEND FROM 23N65W TO 20N72W DRIFT E OF AREA WED. COLD FRONT MOVE OFF N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS FRI. MEANWHILE...TROUGH EMERGE FROM CENTRAL CUBA AND STRETCH ACROSS WESTERN BAHAMAS WED. TROUGH MERGES WITH COLD FRONT FROM 20N71W TO 25N65W LATE SAT. $$ AMZ080-120330- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT BECOME SW 10 TO 15 KT TUE NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT SE LESS THAN 10 KT S OF TROUGH. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS AND S OF TROUGH. SCATTERED SHOWERS ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .WED AND WED NIGHT...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .THU...N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 75W LATE THU BECOME NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 28N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N E OF TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .FRI AND SAT...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILD TO 7 FT. S OF FRONT W OF TROUGH N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW WINDS N OF 26N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES