000 FZNT23 KNHC 111455 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-112130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS...AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRES CENTER ALONG THE HONDURAS AND NICARAGUAN COASTS NEAR 15.5N83W WILL MOVE NW ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THE LOW TO BETTER ORGANIZE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS EARLY AS TONIGHT OR TUE. THE LOW IS EXPECTED NEAR 16.5N84.4W THIS EVENING...NEAR 17.7N85.8W TUE MORNING...AND THEN DRIFT NW TO N ALONG THE E COAST OF THE YUCATAN WED THROUGH THU. THE LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT E ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT. A WEAKENING TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING FROM PUERTO RICO SW INTO THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL REACH 76/77W TUE MORNING THEN ALONG 81/82W WED MORNING AND THEN STALL ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA LATE WED THROUGH THU. $$ AMZ082-112130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 17N W OF 84W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 17N E OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT SE PORTIONS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT NE SEMICIRCLE TONIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT INCREASING TO 6 TO 9 FT TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE S OF 17N VARIABLE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS W OF 80W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW EXCEPT 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT WITHIN 30 NM N OF LOW. ELSEWHERE W OF 87W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 87W S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF 87W N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS W OF 82W. .WED AND THU...WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF 85W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS N OF 18N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. REMAINDER AREA E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 82W. .FRI...WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 83W SW TO W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS N OF 18N. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 83W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. N OF 18N E OF 83W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ084-112130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 82W VARIABLE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N W OF 80W NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N E OF E OF 80W S TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR LOW PRES. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .TUE THROUGH WED...N OF 12N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 12N W OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR TROPICAL WAVE. .THU AND FRI...N OF 12N E OF 81W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 12N W OF 81W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR TROPICAL WAVE. $$ AMZ086-112130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 15N E OF TROPICAL WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE E OF TROPICAL WAVE SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE WINDS LATE TONIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. W OF TROPICAL WAVE E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR TROPICAL WAVE. .TUE THROUGH WED...W OF 67W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT 7 TO 9 FT S OF 16N W OF 70W. E OF 67W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .THU...W OF 70W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT NEAR COAST OF COLUMBIA. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-112130- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 16N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN IN N TO NE SWELL. S OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 19N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 19N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN MIXED N AND E SWELL. .WED THROUGH FRI...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. $$ AMZ088-112130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE AREA N OF 25N UNTIL THU. A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 24N65W TO NW COAST OF HISPANIOLA WILL LINGER BEFORE MOVING E OF AREA WED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND LIE FROM BERMUDA TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY FRI NIGHT. MEANWHILE..A TROUGH WILL EMERGE FROM CENTRAL CUBA AND STRETCH THROUGH THE WESTERN BAHAMAS WED. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND LIE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS TO 27N67W BY FRI NIGHT. $$ AMZ080-112130- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 11 2010 .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 27N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT S TO SW WINDS W OF 75W BECOMING S TO SW WINDS ENTIRE AREA TUE AND TUE NIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WINDS SE OF TROUGH. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .WED...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .THU...N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 75W THU AFTERNOON BECOMING NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 28N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N E OF TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .FRI...BEHIND FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. S OF FRONT W OF TROUGH N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. AHEAD OF FRONT E OF TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW WINDS N OF 26N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR FRONT. $$ FORECASTER STRIPLING