000 FZNT23 KNHC 140316 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-140930- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN IS STATIONARY NEAR 14.6N 69.4W 1001 MB AT 11 PM EDT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE NE AND STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT ...AND BE NEAR 14.8N 69.2W BY TUE MORNING...TO NEAR 15.5N 68.6W BY TUE NIGHT...AND TO NEAR 16.5N 67.4W WED MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER ON WED TO 18.0N 66.0W WED NIGHT...THEN STRENGTHEN TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC FORECAST WATERS NEAR 21.0N 63.0W THU EVENING AND MOVE NE OF AREA FRI MORNING. A TROUGH WILL TRAIL BEHIND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA E OF 75W GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH SAT. $$ AMZ082-140930- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .TONIGHT...W OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W OF 80W. .TUE THROUGH WED...W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT N OF 19N WED. E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W OF 80W. .WED NIGHT AND THU...N OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-140930- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 13N W OF 78W E TO SE WINDS E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT... EXCEPT NW 10 KT E OF 77W...AND VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 13N W OF 80W. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 13N W OF 79W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS REMAINDER AREA. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 13N W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT TUE NIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...EXCEPT NW E OF 77W. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NW PART. .WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W PART. $$ AMZ086-140930- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 14N BETWEEN 63W AND 70W... .TONIGHT...WITHIN 90 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR CENTER. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT...HIGHEST NEAR CENTER OF DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE E OF 70W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 12N E OF 71W. .TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...25 NM SW AND 75 NW QUADRANTS OF THE TROPICAL STORM. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT...INCREASING TO 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT TUE NIGHT...50 KT GUSTS 60 KT WED MORNING AND TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT WED NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF CENTER S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF 13N...AND 5 TO 7 FT S OF 13N. ELSEWHERE W OF CENTER TO 72W N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. W OF 72W W TO NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 14N E OF 70W. .THU...E OF 65W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. W OF 65W VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .FRI...E OF 65W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. W OF 65W E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ087-140930- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 17N W OF 61W WED NIGHT THROUGH THU... .TONIGHT AND TUE...S OF 14N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 14N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 58W. ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 55W AND 58W. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N OF 16N W OF 58W SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT... EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF 20N W OF 60W WED. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 5 TO 7 FT N OF 20N W OF 60W WED. ELSEWHERE W OF 58W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 58W. .WED NIGHT AND THU...N OF 17N W OF 61W TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR GREATER WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...25 NM SW AND 75 NM NW QUADRANTS. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT...BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE THU. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 15N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 15N. .FRI...NW OF TROUGH N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 15N SE OF TROUGH S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW OF TROUGH NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. N OF 15N SE OF TROUGH VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. $$ AMZ088-140930- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN LOCATED IN THE E CARIBBEAN ABOUT 340 NM SW OF PUERTO RICO AT 11 PM EDT IS FORECAST TO TRACK NE AND ACROSS PUERTO RICO WED...AND CONTINUE NE STRENGTHENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE JUST E OF THE FAR SE PART OF THE AREA BY THU NIGHT. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRES N OF AREA CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TUE THEN WEAKEN WED THROUGH FRI. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS SAT. $$ AMZ080-140930- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 22N E OF 67W INCLUDING MONA PASSAGE WED THROUGH THU... .TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS NW BAHAMAS EARLY AND EXTREME SE PART THROUGH TUE. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 25N LATE. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT MONA PASSAGE LATE. .WED THROUGH THU...HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 65 KT...INCREASING TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT WED NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS SE PART. .THU...N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .FRI...N OF 27N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT WITH NE SWELL EXCEPT 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. .SAT...N OF 27N SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO N 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 17N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE 000 FZNT23 KNHC 140316 RRA OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-140930- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN IS STATIONARY NEAR 14.6N 69.4W 1001 MB AT 11 PM EDT. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE NE AND STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT ...AND BE NEAR 14.8N 69.2W BY TUE MORNING...TO NEAR 15.5N 68.6W BY TUE NIGHT...AND TO NEAR 16.5N 67.4W WED MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER ON WED TO 18.0N 66.0W WED NIGHT...THEN STRENGTHEN TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC FORECAST WATERS NEAR 21.0N 63.0W THU EVENING AND MOVE NE OF AREA FRI MORNING. A TROUGH WILL TRAIL BEHIND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA E OF 75W GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH SAT. $$ AMZ082-140930- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .TONIGHT...W OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W OF 80W. .TUE THROUGH WED...W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT N OF 19N WED. E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W OF 80W. .WED NIGHT AND THU...N OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-140930- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 13N W OF 78W E TO SE WINDS E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT... EXCEPT NW 10 KT E OF 77W...AND VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 13N W OF 80W. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 13N W OF 79W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS REMAINDER AREA. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 13N W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT TUE NIGHT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...EXCEPT NW E OF 77W. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NW PART. .WED THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W PART. $$ AMZ086-140930- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 14N BETWEEN 63W AND 70W... .TONIGHT...WITHIN 90 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR CENTER. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT...HIGHEST NEAR CENTER OF DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE E OF 70W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 12N E OF 71W. .TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...25 NM SW AND 75 NW QUADRANTS OF THE TROPICAL STORM. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT...INCREASING TO 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT TUE NIGHT...50 KT GUSTS 60 KT WED MORNING AND TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT WED NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF CENTER S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF 13N...AND 5 TO 7 FT S OF 13N. ELSEWHERE W OF CENTER TO 72W N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. W OF 72W W TO NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 14N E OF 70W. .THU...E OF 65W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. W OF 65W VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .FRI...E OF 65W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. W OF 65W E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ087-140930- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 17N W OF 61W WED NIGHT THROUGH THU... .TONIGHT AND TUE...S OF 14N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 14N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 58W. ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 55W AND 58W. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N OF 16N W OF 58W SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT... EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF 20N W OF 60W WED. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 5 TO 7 FT N OF 20N W OF 60W WED. ELSEWHERE W OF 58W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 58W. .WED NIGHT AND THU...N OF 17N W OF 61W TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR GREATER WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...25 NM SW AND 75 NM NW QUADRANTS. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT...BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE THU. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 15N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 15N. .FRI...NW OF TROUGH N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 15N SE OF TROUGH S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW OF TROUGH NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. N OF 15N SE OF TROUGH VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. $$ AMZ088-140930- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN LOCATED IN THE E CARIBBEAN ABOUT 340 NM SW OF PUERTO RICO AT 11 PM EDT IS FORECAST TO TRACK NE AND ACROSS PUERTO RICO WED...AND CONTINUE NE STRENGTHENING TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE JUST E OF THE FAR SE PART OF THE AREA BY THU NIGHT. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRES N OF AREA CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TUE THEN WEAKEN WED THROUGH FRI. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS SAT. $$ AMZ080-140930- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 22N E OF 67W INCLUDING MONA PASSAGE WED THROUGH THU... .TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS NW BAHAMAS EARLY AND EXTREME SE PART THROUGH TUE. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 25N LATE. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT MONA PASSAGE LATE. .WED THROUGH THU...HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 65 KT...INCREASING TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT WED NIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS SE PART. .FRI...N OF 27N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT WITH NE SWELL EXCEPT 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. .SAT...N OF 27N SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO N 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 17N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE