000 FZNT23 KNHC 132046 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-140330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN STATIONARY NEAR 14.8N 69.6W 1006 MB AT 5 PM EDT. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BEGIN TO MOVE N AND STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT NEAR 14.9N 69.9W...THEN MOVE NE TO NEAR 15.5N 69.5W TUE AFTERNOON....NEAR 16.5N 68.4W TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVE NE ACROSS PUERTO RICO WED AND FURTHER STRENGTHEN TO A MINIMAL HURRICANE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC FORECAST WATERS NEAR 20.0N 63.5W THU MOVING NE OF AREA THU NIGHT. A TROUGH WILL TRAIL BEHIND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA E OF 75W GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH SAT. $$ AMZ082-140330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .TONIGHT...W OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W OF 80W. .TUE THROUGH WED...W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS W OF 80W. .WED NIGHT AND THU...N OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-140330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 12N W OF 83W NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. N OF 12N E OF 83W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 12N W OF 79W. .TUE THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. $$ AMZ086-140330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 14N BETWEEN 63W AND 71W... .TONIGHT...WITHIN 75 NM E AND WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATE. ELSEWHERE E OF 70W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 12N E OF 71W. .TUE THROUGH WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OUT TO 100 NM E AND WITHIN 75W W SEMICIRCLES. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KTS GUSTS 55 KT TUE INCREASING TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT WED. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE E OF CENTER S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT N OF 13N AND 5 TO 7 FT S OF 13N. ELSEWHERE W OF CENTER TO 72W N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. W OF 72W W TO NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT WITH E SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 14N E OF 70W. .THU...E OF 65W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. W OF 65W VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .FRI...E OF 65W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. W OF 65W E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ087-140330- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 17N W OF 59W WED AND THU... .TONIGHT AND TUE...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 10N. .TUE NIGHT...N OF 20N W OF 63W NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 15N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 58W. .WED AND THU...N OF 17N W OF 59W TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR GREATER WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E AND WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT NEAR CENTER. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 15N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 15N. .FRI...NW OF TROUGH N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 15N SE OF TROUGH S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NW OF TROUGH NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. N OF 15N SE OF TROUGH VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN E SWELL. $$ AMZ088-140330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN IN E CARIBBEAN FORECAST TO CROSS PUERTO RICO WED AND CONTINUE TO MOVE NE. OTHERWISE HIGH PRES N OF AREA CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TUE THEN WEAKEN WED THROUGH FRI. A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS SAT. $$ AMZ080-140330- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONA PASSAGE WED... .TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS NW BAHAMAS EARLY AND EXTREME SE PART THROUGH TUE. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 25N LATE. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF BAHAMAS. WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT MONA PASSAGE LATE. .WED AND WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN MONA PASSAGE HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS SE PART. .THU...N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .FRI...N OF 27N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT WITH NE SWELL EXCEPT 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. .SAT...N OF 27N SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SHIFTING TO N 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 17N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. $$ FORECASTER NELSON