000 FZNT23 KNHC 251847 AAA OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA...UPDATED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-252130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV NEAR 15.8N 70.5W 996 MB AT 2 PM EDT MOVING NW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO MOVE NW NEAR 16.5N 71.1W TONIGHT...THEN STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THE SW COAST OF HAITI NEAR 17.6N 72.2W TUE MORNING...TO NEAR 18.8N 73.3W TUE NIGHT AND ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TOWARDS EASTERN CUBA NEAR 19.7N 74.2W BY WED MORNING. GUSTAV IS THEN FORECAST TO WEAKEN BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM THU MORNING ON A NW TRACK ALONG NEAR 21.0N 75.5W...AND PARALLEL THE REMAINDER OF THE COAST OF CUBA LATER ON AND FRI. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W IS MOVING W ABOUT 16 KT. THE WAVE WILL MOVE TO 82W BY LATE TONIGHT...ALONG 85W WED MORNING...THEN ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS WED NIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING W OF THE AREA. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 64W WILL MOVE TO ALONG 71W BY TUE MORNING...ALONG 78W WED MORNING...AND TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS THU MORNING AND W OF THE AREA THU AFTERNOON. $$ AMZ082-252130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 18N E OF 76W TUE NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THU MORNING... .REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...S OF 18N E OF 77W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT...BUILDING 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL LATE. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS BETWEEN 80W AND 83W...AND INCREASING E OF 76W. ISOLATED SHOWERS REMAINDER AREA. .TONIGHT AND TUE...N OF 16N E OF 76W NE TO E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE INTO TUE. SEAS BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT W OF 80W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT W OF 80W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS INCREASING NE PART. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR TSTMS REMAINDER AREA. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT...INCREASING TO 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT WED MORNING...AND DIMINISH TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT THU MORNING. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 17 FT...BUILDING TO 22 FT THU N OF AREA. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N E OF 77W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT S OF 17N W OF 85W BECOMING NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT WED AND THU. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 17N...AND 1 TO 3 FT N OF 17N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS NE PART SHIFTING N OF AREA THU AFTERNOON. .FRI...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT NE PART. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N AND NE PARTS. $$ AMZ084-252130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 .REST OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WED...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 12N W OF 80W. .THU AND FRI...N OF 12N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 12N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ086-252130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 16N W OF 71W... .REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...N OF 15N BETWEEN 66W AND 71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...EXCEPT GUSTS TO 40 KT WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT...BUILDING 8 TO 12 FT LATE. N OF 15N W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...BUILDING 6 TO 8 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT W OF 70W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITHIN 180 NM N AND AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS REMAINDER AREA. .TONIGHT THROUGH WED...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 50 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM...INCREASING TO 60 NM NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT TUE MORNING AND TO 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT TUE NIGHT AND WED. HIGHEST WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT...INCREASING TO 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT TUE MORNING...AND TO 70 KT GUSTS TO 85 KT BY WED MORNING. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT...BUILDING TO 20 FT WED. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 70W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT W OF 72W. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT E OF 72W...AND 1 TO 2 FT W OF 72W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITHIN 180 NM OF TROPICAL STORM CENTER. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ELSEWHERE W OF 65W. .THU AND FRI...N OF 19N E OF 76W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT EARLY ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT FRI. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT FRI. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT S OF 17N W OF 70W. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT S OF 17N W OF 70W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NW PART EARLY...BECOMING ISOLATED LATE MORNING INTO FRI. $$ AMZ087-252130- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 .THIS AFTERNOON...N OF 17N W OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE SE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 15N W OF 57W. .TONIGHT THROUGH WED...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .THU AND FRI...N OF 18N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ088-252130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES FROM BERMUDA TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WILL SHIFT N THROUGH WED S A TROUGH S OF 25N MOVES W OF 65W TUE NIGHT THEN TO AND PASSES 70W WED NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 15.8N 70.5W AT 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO TRACK NW AND SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE NEAR 17.6N 72.2W TUE MORNING...THEN MOVE TO NEAR SW HAITI AT 18.8N 73.3W TUE NIGHT...TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19.7N 74.2W WED MORNING...THEN WEAKEN BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR EASTERN CUBA AT 21.0N 75.5W THU MORNING. GUSTAV IS THEN FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG OR NEAR THE EASTERN CUBAN COAST LATER THU THROUGH FRI. $$ AMZ080-252130- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 245 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 72W TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI... .REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 22N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. S OF 22N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS OVER THE BAHAMAS. .TUE...N OF 28N W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 23N E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 23N E OF 75W. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF 71W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT SE TO S 10 KT N OF 27N W OF 76W. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT N OF 27N W OF 76W ...AND 4 TO 6 FT ELSEWHERE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS S OF 24N W OF 72W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N E OF 69W... AND N OF 27N W OF 76W. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 75W. ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 73W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT N OF 25N E OF 69W AND S TO SW 5 TO 10 KT NW PART. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING 4 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL N OF 25N E OF 69W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS S OF 24N W OF 72W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 24N E OF 70W. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE