000 FZNT23 KNHC 182142 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-190330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR KEY WEST NEAR 24.6N 81.9W 998 MB AT 5 PM EDT MOVING N NW 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. FAY WILL MOVE N TOWARD SW FLORIDA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. FAY WILL STRENGTHEN GRADUALLY AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST NEAR 26.4N 82.0W TUE MORNING. TROPICAL WAVE FROM 21N59W TO 11N63W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 35W WITH A 1010 MB EMBEDDED LOW AT 13N WILL MOVE INTO FAR E WATERS FRI AND APPROACH THE ISLANDS SAT. $$ AMZ082-190330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 19N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 79W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 5 FT. N OF 18N W OF 85W NW TO N WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 18N W OF 85W SW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 20 BETWEEN 80W AND 83W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 18N W OF 85W E TO SE WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 85W. .WED THROUGH FRI...S OF 18N W OF 85W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N E OF 85W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-190330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 12N. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N NW TO N WINDS 10 KT OR LESS SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. .WED THROUGH FRI...N OF 12N E OF 77W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 12N W OF 77W NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 11N. .SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 10 KT OR LESS S OF 10N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ086-190330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. .TUE... S OF 15N W OF 70W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W OF 70W S OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT FRI. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT FRI. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .SAT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT TO 20 KT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-190330- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TONIGHT...E OF TROPICAL WAVE E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. W OF TROPICAL WAVE NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .TUE THROUGH WED...N OF 10N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 10N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 11N. .THU AND FRI...N OF 18N E OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 18N W OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. FROM 12N TO 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 17N. .SAT...E OF TROPICAL WAVE N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. W OF TROPICAL WAVE N OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. E OF TROPICAL WAVE S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT 6 TO 8 FT N OF 15N. W OF TROPICAL WAVE S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ088-190330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR KEY WEST NEAR 24.6N 81.9W 998 MB AT 5 PM EDT MOVING N NW 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. FAY WILL MOVE MOVE N TOWARD NW FL OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND BECOME A HURRICANE TUE MORNING BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER SW FLORIDA. FAY SHOULD THEN DECREASE IN STRENGTH TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES TO 27.4N 81.9W TUE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO NE FL TO 30.0N 81.5W WED AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN FURTHER TO A DEPRESSION AND TAKE A NW TURN INTO GA THU EVENING INTO FRI. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD INTO THE FAR W WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THU. $$ AMZ080-190330- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING W OF 79.5W S OF 28N... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT OVER FORECAST WATERS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E OF THE CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 77W S OF 27W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 72W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 29N W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 25N W OF 77W. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT OVER FORECAST WATERS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 77W BETWEEN 23N AND 29N S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 30N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. N OF 25N E OF 69W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT OVER FORECAST WATERS. MAX SEAS 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 73W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. N OF 26N E OF 71W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED NW PORTION N OF 29N W OF 80W. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT OVER FORECAST WATERS. MAX SEAS 15 FT. N OF 27N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. E OF 75W BETWEEN 24N AND 27N S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 75W S OF 24N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 72W SE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED FAR NW PORTION N OF 30N W OF 81W. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT OVER FORECAST WATERS. MAX SEAS 14 FT. N OF 28N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. W OF 74W BETWEEN 23N AND 27N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .THU...N OF 30N W OF 79W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 74W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 25N W OF 74W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF 74W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 27N W OF 75W. .FRI...N OF 29N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 73W. .SAT...N OF 29N W OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. S OF 27N W OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. E OF 73W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ FORECASTER SCHAUER CLARK