000 FZNT23 KNHC 180934 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-181530- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY OVER CUBA NEAR 22.5N 80.9W 1003 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING NNW 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AND CROSS CUBA AND EMERGE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR 23.5N 81.5W TODAY IN THE AFTERNOON. FAY WILL STRENGTHEN GRADUALLY AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF FLORIDA NEAR 25.1N 82.0W EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. FAY WILL BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON STILL OVER THE WATERS JUST WEST OF FLORIDA NEAR 26.6N 82.3W. ELSEWHERE A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 56W/57W SOUTH OF 22N WILL MOVE TO 60W/61W SOUTH OF 22N BY MON NIGHT...AND INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE NOW E OF THE AREA WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS BY THU. $$ AMZ082-181530- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 21N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF 21N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT... SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N E OF 84W S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 20N E OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. W OF 84W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W ENDING THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 84W. .TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...E OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. W OF 85W E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT S OF 19N LATE TUE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT S OF 18N TUE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 85W ENDING TUE. .WED THROUGH FRI...S OF 18N W OF 85W INCLUDING GULF OF HONDURAS E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 19N E OF 85W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 19N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-181530- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TODAY...N OF 12N E OF 78W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. .TONIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 79W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. N OF 12N W OF 79W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF 78W AND SEAS 1 TO 3 FT W OF 78W. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. .WED THROUGH FRI...N OF 12N E OF 77W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT FRI. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 11N. $$ AMZ086-181530- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TODAY THROUGH TUE NIGHT...S OF 15N W OF 65W E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E PART. .WED THROUGH FRI...W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-181530- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...E OF TROPICAL WAVE E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. W OF TROPICAL WAVE NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF WAVE. .TUE THROUGH WED...N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 60W WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 11N. .THU AND FRI...N OF 19N E OF 60W SE WINDS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 17N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 17N. $$ AMZ088-181530- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 .SYNOPSIS...STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE WATERS SW OF THE BAHAMAS AND N OF CUBA ON THE PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL STORM FAY OVER CUBA NEAR 22.5N 80.9W 1003 MB AT 5 AM EDT WITH HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NW ACROSS WESTERN CUBA INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...THEN MOVE N ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...BECOMING A HURRICANE TUE AFTERNOON OFF THE COAST OF SW FLORIDA. FAY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER FLORIDA AS A HURRICANE FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 28.2N 82.2W. IT WILL MOVE N OVER FLORIDA TO SE GEORGIA BY THU MORNING NEAR 31.1N 82.0W. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD INTO THE FAR NW WATERS TUE NIGHT AND WED. RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM 31N73W TO S FL THU AND FROM 31N77W TO CENTRAL FL FRI. $$ AMZ080-181530- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 28N W OF 79W TUE NIGHT AND WED... .TODAY AND TONIGHT...S OF 28N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. E OF 72W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 29N W OF 77W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS ELSEWHERE W OF 72W. .TUE...N OF 25N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N W OF 78W SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 25N W OF 77W. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N OF 27N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INTO WED MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE N OF 28N W OF 81W. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT OR GREATER LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N W OF 78W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT... DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT WED. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT WED ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 25N W OF 77W. .THU...N OF 27N W OF 75 S TO SW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT EARLY...THEN SHIFTING TO W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 23N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 27N W OF 75W. .FRI...N OF 28N W OF 75W S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 24N E OF 73W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 73W. $$ FORECASTER MT