000 FZNT23 KNHC 180252 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-180930- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 21.4N 80.6W 1001 MB AT 11 PM EDT MOVING NW AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER CUBA TO 22.3N 81.7W MON MORNING...THEN MOVE ACROSS NW CUBA AND INTO THE LOWER STRAITS AND BEGIN TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN NEAR 23.8N 82.7W MON NIGHT AND CONTINUE ON A N TRACK OVER THE EASTERN GULF INTO TUE. ELSEWHERE A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 22N55W TO 10N59W WILL MOVE TO 22N59W TO 10N61W BY MON NIGHT...AND INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE NOW E OF THE AREA WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS BY THU. $$ AMZ082-180930- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 15 FT NE OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N E OF 82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 84W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N E OF 84W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 84W NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 19N E OF 85W. .MON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF 21N BETWEEN 80W AND 82W ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT... SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N E OF 84W S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 20N E OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. W OF 84W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W ENDING EARLY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 84W. .MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...E OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. W OF 85W E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT S OF 19N LATE TUE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT S OF 18N TUE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 85W ENDING TUE. .WED THROUGH FRI...S OF 18N W OF 85W INCLUDING GULF OF HONDURAS E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 19N E OF 85W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 19N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-180930- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .TONIGHT AND MON...N OF 12N E OF 78W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. .MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 12N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. .WED THROUGH FRI...N OF 12N E OF 77W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT FRI. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 11N. $$ AMZ086-180930- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 14N W OF 72W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...HIGHEST NW PART NEAR WINDWARD PASSAGE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT S OF 14N W OF 73W. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 12N E OF 67W. .MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...S OF 15N W OF 65W E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E PART. .WED THROUGH FRI...W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-180930- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...E OF TROPICAL WAVE E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. W OF TROPICAL WAVE NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF WAVE. .TUE THROUGH WED...N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 60W WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 11N. .THU AND FRI...N OF 19N E OF 60W SE WINDS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 17N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 17N. $$ AMZ088-180930- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .SYNOPSIS...STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE WATERS SW OF THE BAHAMAS AND N OF CUBA ON THE PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL STORM FAY JUST S OF CUBA NEAR 21.4N 80.6W 1001 MB AT 11 PM EDT WITH HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NW ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...THEN MOVE N ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE THROUGH TUE CROSSING THE FL WEST COAST TUE NIGHT. FAY WILL THEN TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN FL AND WEAKEN REACHING TO NEAR SE GEORGIA BY LATE WED. AS A RESULT...TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD INTO THE FAR NW WATERS TUE NIGHT AND WED. RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM 31N73W TO S FL THU AND FROM 31N77W TO CENTRAL FL FRI. $$ AMZ080-180930- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 28N W OF 81W TUE NIGHT AND WED... .TONIGHT...S OF 25N W OF 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N W OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 28N W OF 77W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT S OF 24N E OF 73W. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 5 FT S OF 24N E OF 73W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS S OF 25N W OF 77W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ELSEWHERE W OF 70W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 25N E OF 64W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF 28N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. E OF 72W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 29N W OF 77W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS ELSEWHERE W OF 72W. .TUE...N OF 25N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N W OF 78W SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 25N W OF 77W. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N OF 27N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INTO WED MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE N OF 28N W OF 81W. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT OR GREATER LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N W OF 78W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT... DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT WED. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT WED ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 25N W OF 77W. .THU...N OF 27N W OF 75 S TO SW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT EARLY...THEN SHIFTING TO W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 23N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 27N W OF 75W. .FRI...N OF 28N W OF 75W S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 73W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 24N E OF 73W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 73W. $$ FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN/AGUIRRE