000 FZNT23 KNHC 171516 CCA OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-172130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 20.5N 78.6W 1003 MB AT 11 AM EDT MOVING WNW AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TO 21.3N 80.0W THIS EVENING...TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA TO 22.9N 81.4W MON MORNING...TO 24.5N 82.0W MON EVENING ...AND 26.2N 82.4W TUE MORNING. ELSEWHERE...A TROPICAL WAVE STRETCHING FROM 22N56W TO 16N57W TO TRINIDAD THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME DIFFUSE TONIGHT AS IT EXTENDS FROM 22N57W TO 14N61W. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE NORTHERN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS LATE WED OR EARLY THU THIS COMING WEEK. $$ AMZ082-172130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 19N BETWEEN 76W AND 82W... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER OF FAY INCREASING TO 100 NM TONIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT TONIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 79W LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT E OF 80W SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT TONIGHT AND 3 TO 5 FT W OF 80W BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF FAY SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 10 KT OR LESS S OF 17N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT S OF 17N. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 17N E OF 84W SPREADING NW. .MON AND MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY MOVING N OF AREA LATE. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT N OF AREA. SEAS TO 12 FT IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 79W AND 85W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE E OF FAY SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF FAY NW TO N WINDS 10 KT N OF 20N BECOMING NE TO E 10 KT OR LESS AREA WIDE. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 85W. .TUE...N OF 18N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 85W AND 2 TO 4 FT ELSEWHERE SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT AREA WIDE LATE. S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED AND THU...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 18N AND 2 TO 4 FT N OF 18N EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT GULF OF HONDURAS. $$ AMZ084-172130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 11N E OF 80W N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT LATE. N OF 11N W OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING N TO NE. S OF 11N SW TO W WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT THROUGHOUT BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT NH OF 11 E OF 80W TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .MON THROUGH TUE...N OF 11N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT MON AND 4 TO 6 FT TUE. N OF 11N W OF 80W N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE TO E 10 KT TUE. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .WED AND THU...N OF 12N E OF 78W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL. $$ AMZ086-172130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 17N W OF 72W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT ATLC PASSAGES. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 17N W OF 83W EARLY DIMINISHING TONIGHT. .MON THROUGH TUE...S OF 15N W OF 70W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .WED AND THU...S OF 15N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-172130- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 15N E OF TROPICAL WAVE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 15N W OF TROPICAL WAVE NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG WAVE AXIS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E...E OF 58W LATE. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT THROUGHOUT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...HIGHEST N. .WED...N OF 16N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .THU...N OF 18N E OF 62W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...HIGHEST N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N PART. $$ AMZ088-172130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 20.5N 78.6W 1003 MB AT 11 AM EDT MOVING WNW AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY WILL MOVE TO 21.3N 80.0W THIS EVENING...22.9N 81.4W MON MORNING...24.5N 82.0W MON EVENING ...AND 26.2N 82.2W TUE MORNING WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING ACROSS THE FAR SW WATERS TONIGHT. FAY WILL MOVE INLAND ALONG THE W COAST OF FLORIDA TUE AND CROSS N CENTRAL FLORIDA ...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING OVER THE FAR NW WATERS. ELSEWHERE...WEAK RIDGING EXTENDING FROM THE NE WATERS TO THE S CENTRAL BAHAMAS TUE WILL STRENGTHEN WED AND THU. $$ AMZ080-172130- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 24N W OF 79W... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 28N W OF 80W LATE TUE AND WED... .THIS AFTERNOON...S OF 24N W OF 76W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT W OF 76W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT NEAR NE FLORIDA COAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS S OF 25N W OF 74W SPREADING NW. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXPANDING TO 100 NM BY MON MORNING. HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUSTS TO 60 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF 76W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT OFF SE FLORIDA COAST. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT W OF 74W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT W OF 74W. N OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS E OF 70W AND SE TO S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS W OF 70W EXCEPT S TO SW NEAR FLORIDA NE COAST. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT NEAR FLORIDA NE COAST. .MON AND MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT MON NIGHT SW OF AREA. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT W OF AREA. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT NEAR FLORIDA E COAST. ELSEWHERE S OF 29N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT S OF 28N W OF 76W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. N OF 29N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT NEAR FL NE COAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 27N W OF 77W. .TUE AND WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 25N W OF 79W. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 77W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 15 KT S OF 27N WED. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT S OF 27N WED. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT W OF 75W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW 15 TO 20 KT W OF 78W TUE DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT WED. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT W OF 75W WED. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 25N W OF 77W SPREADING N. .THU...N OF 28N W OF 77W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 75W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E TO SE WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW NEAR FLORIDA E COAST BECOMING NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT E OF 70W LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 FT OR LESS W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS FAR NW DIMINISHING. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN