000 FZNT23 KNHC 170915 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-171530- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 19.7N 77.3W 1003 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING WNW AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TO 20.7N 78.9W THIS AFTERNOON...22.2N 80.6W TONIGHT...THEN MOVE ACROSS CUBA TO 23.7N 81.6W OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO MON AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 55W WILL MOVE SLOWLY W TO 57W THIS AFTERNOON...58W TONIGHT...59W MON AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME DIFFUSE MON NIGHT. $$ AMZ082-171530- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 19N E OF 82W... .TODAY AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER OF FAY INCREASING TO 100 NM TONIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT TONIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 85W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF FAY SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF FAY NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 17N E OF 84W. .MON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY MOVING N OF AREA LATE. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT N OF AREA. SEAS TO 12 FT IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 86W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF FAY SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF FAY NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 20N E OF 85W. .MON NIGHT...N OF 20N W OF 78W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .TUE...N OF 18N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED AND THU...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 18N AND 2 TO 4 FT N OF 18N. $$ AMZ084-171530- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .TODAY...N OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. S OF 11N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT THROUGHOUT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...N OF 11N E OF 80W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 11N W OF 80W E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .WED AND THU...N OF 12N E OF 78W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. $$ AMZ086-171530- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .TODAY...N OF 18N W OF 72W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT W OF 68W AND 2 TO 3 FT E OF 68W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WINDWARD PASSAGE EARLY. .TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...S OF 15N W OF 70W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .WED AND THU...S OF 15N W OF 70W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ087-171530- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 15N E OF TROPICAL WAVE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 15N W OF TROPICAL WAVE NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 17N. .MON...N OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. S OF 15N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT THROUGHOUT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...N OF 16N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .THU...N OF 18N E OF 62W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT SHIFTING SE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N PART. $$ AMZ088-171530- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 19.7N 77.3W 1003 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING WNW AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FAY WILL MOVE TO 20.7N 78.9W THIS AFTERNOON...22.2N 80.6W TONIGHT...23.7N 81.6W MON AFTERNOON...AND 25.4N 82.1W MON NIGHT WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING ACROSS THE FAR SW WATERS THIS EVENING THROUGH MON NIGHT. FAY WILL MOVE N NEAR THE W COAST OF FLORIDA TUE AND WED WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING OVER THE FAR WESTERN WATERS. ELSEWHERE...A TROUGH WILL MOVE TO 65W N OF 24N MON NIGHT AND EXTEND FROM 31N65W TO 26N70W TUE THEN DISSIPATE WED. $$ AMZ080-171530- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING W OF 78W... .TODAY...S OF 25N W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 70W. .TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY INCREASING TO 120 NM MON NIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT MON NIGHT SW OF AREA. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 16 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 29N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 29N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SQUALLS S OF 28N W OF 76W. .TUE AND WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 24N W OF 79W. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 76W S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. N OF 25N E OF 72W SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NW PART. .THU...N OF 29N W OF 76W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FAR NW PART. $$ FORECASTER BERG